Fire SuitedTier 1
at 卡卡貓桌遊店家冠軍賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 55.6% | 10 | 5-4-1 | 55.0% | 53.6% | 52.2% | +1.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 16.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.6% | -6.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.8% | +16.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.6% | -3.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Water Neos | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.4% | +23.0 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suited decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song of Frost | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expose Darkness | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heated Vengeance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nico, Rapture's Embrace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Reimagined | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peppered Chef | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Duchess, Six of Hearts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wonderland's Reign | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Sword of Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rending Flames | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ashen Riffle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |